Circle Raises $242.25 Million in Two-Wheel Private Sale, TGE Whales Smart Money Keeps Buying the Dip, Predicts Arc Token Generation Event This Year
According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, a savvy investor has put in $32.1k on the question "Will Arc launch its token by December 31, 2026?" with an average buying probability of 51.5%. The current probability of "Yes" is 30.0%.
hitjnn214 has invested $32.1k, and the most relevant category to this market is Token Launch, with a net profit of $60.6k. Out of 15 settled trades in this category, the success rate is 12/15 (80%), with 5 trades where the buy price was below $0.8 and the sell price was above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.551-$0.6), the median historical investment amount is $58, making this investment 553.0 times the median.
Arc is a stablecoin-native Layer 1 network developed by Circle, targeting payments, forex trading, asset tokenization, and capital market settlement. Transaction fees are paid in USDC, and the network is EVM-compatible. Arc is also integrated with Circle's CCTP, Gateway, and institutional fiat on/off ramps. The network is currently in public testnet phase. Hibachi announced on July 29th the development of an institutional forex spot and perpetual contract platform on Arc.
Circle reached an agreement in May to sell 7.4 billion ARC tokens to institutional investors at a price of $0.30 per token, expecting to raise about $222m. At the end of June, the company additionally sold 67.5 million ARC, expecting to raise about $20.25m. The initial total supply as outlined in the ARC whitepaper is 10 billion tokens, intended for staking, governance, and network fee distribution. The official website still notes that ARC has not been launched, and specific unlock schedules, public circulation dates, and exchange listings have not been announced.
Note: Based on the trader's past transaction profile, it is inferred that the trader is not betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behaviors after opening a position at a certain point.
Account:
0x993f451b6d5c21996b1bf688493cea9c4c823ee3
Total Investment: $32.1k
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