Internal Programming Test Failed, Tech Smart Money Predicts Next-Gen Gemini Pro Model Will Not Be Released This Month

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, a savvy money placed a $1.6k bet on "Will the next-generation Gemini Pro model be released this month?" with an average buy-in probability of 56.9%. Currently, the probability of "Yes" is 45.8%.

h038596027355 placed a $1.6k bet, and the most relevant sector to this market is Technology, with a sector net profit of $15.8k. Out of 111 settled trades in this sector, the success rate is 87/111 (78%), with 26 trades where the buy price was less than $0.8 and the sell price was greater than $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.501-$0.65), the median historical investment amount is $525.

On July 17, the Los Angeles Times reported that Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro is already several months behind schedule, primarily because the company is still working on enhancing the model's capabilities, especially in programming. On August 13, Reuters reported that Alphabet has delayed the new flagship Gemini version by about two months, citing internal tests showing it still lags behind competitors in programming and other areas.

On August 6, The Verge reported that Google underwent a major AI organization restructuring; Google's official statement later revealed that Demis Hassabis had been appointed as Google DeepMind's CEO and Alphabet's Chief Scientist, while Koray Kavukcuoglu would oversee Gemini model development, cutting-edge AI research, Gemini applications, and the developer team as Google DeepMind's Senior Vice President. Sundar Pichai mentioned in the official statement that Google must continue to accelerate, and Demis Hassabis also noted that new models, including Gemini 4, are in progress.
---------------------------------
See the future sooner, follow @PolyBeats_Bot
See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN