BLG vs. Gen.G finals countdown one week, who does smart money think will win?

According to PolyBeats monitoring, the 2026 League of Legends World Championship final is scheduled for 03:00 Beijing time on November 15, with Gen.G facing Bilibili Gaming.

On the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of "BLG winning the 2026 World Championship title" is 37.4%. By analyzing data from accounts holding over 1k shares, it was found that among accounts with profits exceeding $1k in the League of Legends section, 57 bought BLG to win the championship, while 38 bought Gen.G to win.

The highest-profit account in the League of Legends section on the BLG side is PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN, who bought $1.0k of BLG "Yes," less than 10% of their average investment amount. Their PnL in the League of Legends section is +$313.7k, yet their PnL in the 2026 World Championship section is −$13.1k.
The highest-profit account on the Gen.G side is drunkdegenerate, who bought $12.5k, which is 2.36 times their average investment in that section. Their PnL in the League of Legends section is +$124.5k, and their PnL in the 2026 World Championship section is −$10.7k. Both sides are profitable overall in League of Legends but losing money on this year's World Championship.

On November 7, Gen.G defeated IG 3:0 in the semifinals to advance to the final first. The Liquipedia knockout stage page shows that BLG defeated T1 3:1 in the other semifinal on November 8. This is Gen.G's first time reaching the World Championship final under its current name, and BLG's second time. BLG's previous appearance was the 2024 final, where they lost to T1.