Arm CEO Rene Haas's probability of succeeding Nvidia CEO rises to 36%, becoming the top favorite

November 14 - Latest data from prediction market platform Predict.fun shows that in the "NVIDIA's next CEO" prediction market, Arm CEO Rene Haas has overtaken NVIDIA's Vice President of High-Performance Computing Business Ian Buck with a 36% probability, rising to first place. Ian Buck ranks second with 26%, and NVIDIA's interim CEO and Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress ranks third with 13%.

Previously, according to the UK's Financial Times citing people familiar with the matter, NVIDIA's board of directors has approached Rene Haas, CEO of SoftBank-owned UK chip design company Arm, while searching for an official successor to Jensen Huang. Haas is one of several potential candidates, and it is currently uncertain whether NVIDIA will formally extend an offer, nor whether Haas will accept. Arm declined to comment, and NVIDIA did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Haas previously worked at NVIDIA for about seven years, serving as Vice President and General Manager of the Computing Products Business. According to people familiar with the matter, more than a decade after leaving NVIDIA, he still maintains good relationships with Jensen Huang and some NVIDIA directors. Haas joined Arm in 2013, where he was responsible for global sales and marketing, later serving as President of the IP Products Group, and has served as Arm CEO and director since February 2022.

According to the contract rules, an interim CEO appointment does not count toward settlement; if NVIDIA does not announce an official successor before 23:59 US Eastern Time on December 31, 2028, the "no change" option will win, which does not mean Jensen Huang stays on or returns.