GRVT's TGE Tomorrow, Pre-Launch FDV $410m, Smart Money Predicts FDV to Surpass $500M the Day After Listing

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction market, a savvy investor has placed a $1.2k bet on "Will FDV exceed a $500M Fully Diluted Valuation the day after GRVT's governance token launch?", with an average buy-in probability of 28.9%. The current probability for "Yes" stands at 26.0%.

Address 0x57f98b5d has placed a $1.2k bet, with FDV as the most relevant market segment, realizing a net profit of $8.4k. Out of 13 settled trades in this segment, the success rate is 7/13 (54%), with 7 trades having a buy-in price below $0.8 and a sell-out price above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.201-$0.35), the median historical investment amount is $404.

GRVT is a self-custodial chain-native financial platform built on the ZKsync Elastic Chain. Its core feature is integrating perpetual contracts, spot, yield products, and tokenized assets into a single account system: users can earn interest on their funds while using them as trading collateral. According to the official explanation, platform governance and the member token GRVT can be used to reduce transaction and payment fees, enhance collateral and yield product rights, and participate in the value distribution of the platform ecosystem.

In September 2025, GRVT completed a $19M Series A, with total funding of approximately $33.3M, but the public data did not disclose equity valuation. GRVT had increased the community allocation to 28% of the fixed supply, with the team emphasizing that the token would be used for fee efficiency, collateral efficiency, yield, and payment rights.

GRVT's official X has announced a TGE extension from the original plan to July 30 to coordinate simultaneous listings on multiple major exchanges; MEXC also opened GRVT pre-market trading on July 28 at 11:00 UTC. The current executed price in MEXC pre-market trading is around $0.41, implying an FDV of approximately $410M based on a total supply of 1 billion tokens.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, the trader is not betting on the actual outcome of the event but engages in profit-taking and stop-loss actions at certain points after opening positions.

Account:
0x57f98b5d2dda8211d5c7f07f09e201fd12aabcd9

Total Investment: $1.2k
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