New Account Nails Fed's No-Rate-Hike Call, Now Predicts Signing of CLARITY Act by Year-End

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, a savvy investor has put in $70.6k on the outcome of "Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026," betting "Yes," with an average buy-in probability of 28.2%. The current "Yes" probability stands at 28.5%.

Address 0x0c689c8e has invested $70.6k, with the top-related category in this market being Politics, netting a profit of $74.2k. The user has a 100% win rate in this category based on 1 settled transaction, with 1 transaction where the buy price was below $0.8 and the sell price was above $0.95.

The CLARITY Act aims to provide a regulatory framework for the digital asset market. On May 14, 2026, the Senate Banking Committee passed the bill with a 15-9 vote; on July 22, Senator Cynthia Lummis released an updated text integrating the Banking and Agriculture Committee's work and stated that they are striving to reach an agreement in the coming days.

However, the market's resolution criteria are not "Committee Approval" or "Senate Procedural Vote": the bill must pass both houses by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET and be signed by the President to resolve as "Yes." If the Senate text differs from the House version, it will still need to be reconciled and passed again. On July 29, Axios reported that negotiators are still working to secure 60 votes, with Senate Majority Leader Thune only indicating a procedural vote will be scheduled before the recess.

Account:
0x0c689c8e78588fd3d02e56a6e787e7f9e9b09e76

Total Investment: $70.6k
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