"Set ten major targets first": Begin reducing positions if BTC breaks below $79k; exit all long positions if the daily chart closes below $78k.

On October 9, the whale “First Ten Big Goals” posted on the X platform stating that macro bearish signals are currently clustering—the 30-year US Treasury yield is nearing 5.7%, with the 10-year sitting around 5.3%; expectations for further rate hikes this year have intensified; oil and inflation pressures are resurfacing; and panic over a suspected plague incident in Russia is adding to the tension—yet BTC has only corrected roughly 5%. The asset’s muted response to negative macro catalysts is itself a significant signal.

The author points out that the current price action resembles the “hard-to-sell” dynamics observed when BTC traded at $58,000, but whereas that period marked stabilization following extreme pessimism, today’s setup reflects a strong trend where persistent macro headwinds have failed to genuinely break the price structure. Accordingly, the author does not expect a direct drop to $78,000 or even $74,000 in this cycle, outlining clear trading discipline: begin trimming positions below $79,000, close all long positions if the daily candle closes under $78,000, and hold steady otherwise.