Polymarket: 98.4% of favored options won in settled midterm election markets.

On Nov. 5 that according to Polymarket, among the 426 settled U.S. midterm election races, the market favorites on the day before Election Day won 419 contests, accounting for 98.4%, while 7 races saw results opposite to the favorites; 78 races remain pending settlement.

The accompanying chart shows that among the settled Senate, gubernatorial, and House races, the win rates for market favorites were 97.0%, 97.1%, and 98.6%, respectively.