Anthropic has entered the listing review stage, with the IPO Smart Money section predicting the IPO to be completed by November.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a savvy investor has put in $2300 on "Will Anthropic complete an IPO by October 31, 2026?" with an average buy-in probability of 74.8%. The current probability for "Yes" stands at 71.5%.
Optimus, with a $2300 investment, is most active in the IPO market segment on this market, with a net profit of $1.0k. Out of 34 settled trades in this segment, their win rate is 21/34 (62%), with 15 trades where the buy price was below $0.8 and the sell price was above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.651-$0.7), the median historical investment amount is $957.
On the 13th, the Financial Times reported that some major investors in Anthropic anticipate the company will go public in October, with a projected valuation of $2 trillion or higher. The Wall Street Journal reported on the 11th that the company is holding meetings with potential investors, targeting a listing in September or early October. The specific IPO date is yet to be officially confirmed by Anthropic.
In May, Anthropic concluded a $65 billion Series H funding round, resulting in a post-money valuation of $965 billion, with an annual revenue exceeding $47 billion. Reuters reported on August 13 that the company is in talks to acquire Decart AI for around $6 billion. This deal is still in its early stages, and Decart's AI infrastructure and optimization technology may be integrated into Anthropic's reasoning and performance team.
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