After the CPI release, the probability of a Fed rate hike in October rose to 43.7%.
October 14th, following the release of the U.S. September CPI data, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged by October is 56.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 43.7%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 4.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 55.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 40.4%.