Two traders who had previously correctly predicted Putin's visit to China bought on the same day that Putin would meet with Zelensky.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on October 27, a Kremlin aide told TASS: if Zelensky truly wants direct talks, he should come to Moscow, and conditions including security guarantees will be provided, adding that such invitations have been repeated "a million times." On October 28, Trump told reporters that there has been progress between Russia and Ukraine, and a meeting between Putin and Zelensky "will be arranged soon," but did not give a date, location, or say whether it would be face-to-face.
Currently, the probability on the prediction market Polymarket for "Putin and Zelensky to meet this year" is 7%. Two accounts that previously successfully predicted Putin's visit to China bought "Yes" on October 28.
0xddb1ec bought $299.41. This account has a 100% win rate on 2 prediction-type trades in the Russia sector, with PnL +$4.2k and ROI +17.6%. The amount invested in this trade was 0.03 times its average investment in this sector.
0XTrumpDKXuqB91R7913e bought $320. This account has a 100% win rate on 1 prediction-type trade in the Russia sector, with PnL +$2.4k and ROI +11.3%. The amount invested in this trade was 0.02 times its average investment in this sector.
On October 28, Zelensky said at a press conference with the Dutch Prime Minister in The Hague that he does not know when a leader-level meeting on Russia will be held, and that it "depends on the Russian side, because they have never supported it in the past"; ending the war involves territory and security guarantees and must be discussed by leaders; he will not refuse a trilateral leaders' meeting even without Europe, but still hopes Europe will be present.