Already spoiled before even playing? GTA6 hasn't been released yet, but the probability of the protagonist's death has risen to 73.5%.

According to monitoring by PolyBeats, although "GTA VI" has not yet been released, the probability on Polymarket that "Jason or Lucia will die in GTA VI" rose 24 percentage points in the past 24 hours.

The market was created on November 2 and remained at about 50% for the first two days, and is currently around 74%. This increase was basically driven by purchases from the new account CrazyGuy123.

Rockstar's official website confirms that the game will launch on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S on November 19, 2026, with preloading beginning on November 10. The story takes place in the fictional state of Leonida, modeled on Florida, and the protagonists are criminal partners Jason Duval and Lucia Caminos.

Rockstar's official website says that after serving in the military, Jason returned to the Leonida Keys and worked for local drug dealers. Lucia comes from Liberty City and, after fighting for her family, was imprisoned in a Leonida prison and got out through luck. After a job that was supposed to be easy goes wrong, the two are drawn into a criminal conspiracy spanning the entire state and can only rely on each other to get out alive. The relationship between the characters is affected by the player's actions, but the official ending has not been announced.