Gemini 3.5 Pro once again misses rumor window, Smart Money continues to predict no release this month

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, a savvy investor has put $3.6k on "No" for "Will the next-generation Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?" The average buy probability is 43.5%, and the current "Yes" probability is 53.5%.

seal7 has invested $3.6k, and the most relevant category in this market is AI model release, with a net profit of $8.4k. They have a 100% win rate in this category based on 2 settled transactions, out of which 2 transactions had a buy price less than $0.8 and a sell price greater than $0.95.

The savvy investor's account has twice predicted that the new Gemini Pro would not be released before August and has been successful. On the 9th, developer leaker DanDr1s revealed that Google had initially planned to release Gemini 3.5 Pro on August 10, but the schedule has been delayed, and a release in August might also be in jeopardy. Google has not confirmed this information.

On the 5th, Google restructured the DeepMind management team, with Koray Kavukcuoglu taking over day-to-day operations and being responsible for the R&D delivery of the Gemini model and related products. Sundar Pichai stated in an internal announcement that Google is still planning to release a new model and needs to accelerate the R&D process. The Guardian reported on the 8th that the release date of Gemini 3.5 Pro is still undecided, and Google is continuing to enhance its code generation capabilities.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions at a certain point after opening a position.

Account:
0x2b9dbf4b6e0e11309a9d6d2a09b72f65f652adc0

Total Investment: $3.6k
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