Betting on League of Legends Hero Lost $800,000 and Refuses to Admit Defeat, Bro Bets on LPL Reincarnation Team Weibo Game to Beat Ninja Team

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, a whale has placed a $19.0k bet on the "League of Legends: Weibo Game vs. Ninja Team (BO3) - LPL Nirvana Group" event, with an average buy probability of 48.0%. The current probability for the "Weibo Game" is also 48.0%.

huli3882 has wagered $19.0k, with the top-related market being League of Legends, with a net loss of -$785k. Out of 390 settled trades in this market, their win rate is 151/390 (39%), with 149 trades where the buy price was below $0.8 and the sell price was above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.401-$0.55), the median of their historical investment amount is $2.9k.

Pre-match data does not strongly favor the Weibo Game. Tips. GG indicates that in the LPL Split 3 Nirvana Group, the Ninja Team currently holds a record of 3 wins and 0 losses, with a game score of 6-1, placing them first in the group; whereas the Weibo Game has a record of 0 wins and 2 losses, with a game score of 1-4. The two teams met on July 30th, where the Ninja Team defeated the Weibo Game 2-0. In recent matches, the Ninja Team also defeated Invictus Gaming 2-1 on August 6th, showing a more consistent form.

The reverse logic for the Weibo Game mainly stems from team composition quality and bounce-back potential. In the current RFT.GG community vote, the Weibo Game slightly leads the Ninja Team with 52% to 48%; in recent performances, the Weibo Game won 2-0 against LNG four days ago, proving that they have not completely stalled. Looking at their historical matchups, the two teams have not been completely one-sided. Game-Tournaments records show that the Weibo Game previously defeated the Ninja Team 2-0 on May 10th, but lost to them on April 9th and July 30th.
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