Hyperliquid still has a 10% chance of another airdrop this year, with multiple smart money addresses buying "No"
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 3 accounts with a high win rate in the airdrop sector collectively invested $22.68k to buy "Hyperliquid will not conduct a second airdrop in 2026."
manekineko bought $10.26k "No" at a buy probability of 78.89%. This account has made 38 trades in the airdrop sector, with a win rate of 71%, PnL +$7.1k, and this bet is 11.59 times its median bet size.
qmarktea2 bought $10.35k "No" at a buy probability of 85.57%. This account has made 47 trades in the airdrop sector, with a win rate of 91%, PnL +$31.1k, and this bet is 0.76 times its median bet size.
phdcapital bought $2.07k "No" at a buy probability of 80.44%. This account has made 15 trades in the airdrop sector, with a win rate of 93%, PnL +$2.0k, and this bet is 0.54 times its median bet size.
In the first airdrop, Hyper Foundation distributed 31% of the total HYPE supply of 1b tokens to approximately 94,019 addresses based on prior points. Hyperliquid still has 38.888% of its total supply earmarked for future emissions and community rewards.
Theoretically, the foundation or validators could allocate a portion of this for transferable distribution based on a new address snapshot; however, the official team has so far not announced Season 2, a points program, a snapshot date, a conversion ratio, or a claim page.