High Win Rate Polymarket Trader Goes Long 20x on BTC, Simultaneously Betting on "No Fed Rate Hike in September"

August 11th, according to TradingBeats (formerly Hyperinsight) monitoring, Polymarket trader "Stable-Armament" currently holds both the "Fed won't raise rates in September by 25 bps" No and "Rates will stay the same in September" Yes shares, with a total investment of approximately $51,000, explicitly betting that the Fed will not raise rates in September.

The current value of the above prediction position is approximately $55,300, with a total unrealized gain of around $4,321. Historical records show that "Stable-Armament" has achieved 301 wins and 72 losses out of 373 closed predictions on Polymarket, with an overall win rate of 80.7% and a total realized profit of about $1.135 million.

Meanwhile, the associated Hyperliquid address (0xf00e) is currently leveraged long 15.7 BTC at 20x, with a position value of around $1.006 million, being the account's main holding; the average entry price is $63,557.1, BTC is currently trading at $63,951, with an unrealized gain of about $6,196, a return rate of approximately 12.4%, and a liquidation price of $54,828.6.

This trader has previously completed 8 rounds of BTC trades on Hyperliquid, with 6 rounds in profit and 2 in loss, achieving a win rate of 75%; after deducting fees, the net profit is about $172,700. The current BTC long position is part of the 9th round of trading.

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